IDFC First Bank might turn out to be the dark horse


IDFC First Bank might be a dark horse at present ranges with very restricted draw back, says Gautam Shah of Goldilocks Premium Research. Edited excerpts:


What is your technical view on the market?
From a charts perspective, it has been a clear structural uptrend. We have been making greater highs regularly. Even at present ranges, the market just isn’t overbought as a result of the upmove has been measured.

Nifty elements like

, IT and bank stocks are very well-placed. Our working goal for this leg of the run stays at round 16,000, which is the place a number of technical research coincide.

The larger alternative is in Nifty Bank as a result of there may be a 10-12% upside. For Nifty, I believe until we’re above 15,340, all is nicely.

What will be your high picks inside the banking names?
Nifty Bank remains to be in a catch-up mode. If you have a look at different sectors, they’re already at lifetime highs or 52-week highs whereas Nifty remains to be fairly distant from its personal excessive. So there’s lots of catch-up to do. I believe 36,500 and 37,700 are our working targets for Nifty Bank.

ICICI Bank, Axis Bank and SBI are our greatest bets. I believe they may see important upside even from present ranges they usually appear to have taken management from HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank. IDFC First Bank might be a dark horse at present ranges with very restricted draw back. The upside potential is kind of giant from a medium-term stand level.

Are there some recent buying and selling alternatives inside the auto pack?
After shedding 15% from the highs, the auto index has step by step come again in the final couple of weeks. We really feel that this can be a giant uptrend. There is a major upside potential from right here. In truth, the auto area in all probability has one in every of the greatest sectoral charts in the market set-up. Our working goal for that index is about 12,000 which is the earlier excessive. We like two-wheelers greater than four-wheelers. Maruti might simply be a median performer, however Bajaj Auto and Ashok Leyland is probably going to do nicely. Tata Motors, which has been a favorite for nearly eight months now, is a structural story which can proceed to play out. It went by way of a patch of consolidation, has damaged out once more in the final seven days and searching good for an eventual goal of Rs 380 to Rs 400. So one ought to simply keep invested and trip the upmove.

How would you have a look at the alternative in the capital items sector?
I would love to stick with the leaders. You are in a market surroundings the place the high quality is deteriorating by the day. We see that in midcaps and smallcaps. I believe grade C and D shares at the moment are buzzing with exercise. It is rarely a great signal. So at Goldilocks we try to get into high quality shares as a result of these are ranges the place the risk-reward just isn’t at its greatest. I see a 15% upside in capital items over the subsequent six months. As they’re coming out of such an extended interval of underperformance, the upside scope is substantial. Take the instance of Reliance Industries. Till a few years in the past, it was the underperformer and did nothing for a decade. When the transfer began, it doubled inside 15-17 months. Something related might occur in the capital items area. So use all the dips to purchase.

Hotels haven’t completed nicely. Which different sectors look attention-grabbing to you?
I see nice worth in Indian Hotels even at Rs 140. This is a sector which did completely nothing for years and now there’s critical HNI curiosity coming into the area. The charts are wanting nice. The draw back may be about Rs 20 and the upside may be Rs 100-Rs 200 from these ranges. So when you have to play a barely extra long-term horizon, unlock shares make lots of sense as a result of hopefully COVID is completed and dusted. That might be the worst factor that might have occurred to this set of shares. Now as issues open up in the subsequent one week, these shares will see important motion. You are already seeing IndiGo doing nicely.

is coming again. It is one other inventory that we like. Delta Corp can also be proper up there.



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