Lofty valuations factor in key positives for risk conscious Kotak Bank: Analysts


NEW DELHI: ‘s March quarter earnings missed analysts’ estimates on the revenue entrance led by lower-than-expected progress in internet curiosity earnings (NII) and better provisions. Analysts say the non-public lender has been risk conscious for some time, which has taken a toll on its progress.

Analysts imagine the inventory will intently monitor progress momentum, which in any other case has been disappointing, and are ‘impartial’ on the inventory as they see higher risk reward elsewhere.

HDFC Securities Institutional Research mentioned the prevailing lofty valuations factor in an uptick in credit score, value of funds tailwinds, and normalising credit score prices in FY22. It maintained a ‘scale back’ ranking on the inventory with a goal of Rs 1,747.

CLSA has maintained ‘underperform’ on the inventory whereas suggesting that expectations from the financial institution are nonetheless excessive. The financial institution, it mentioned, made greater provisioning in the March quarter, however famous that asset high quality remained robust for the lender all through the pandemic. It sees higher risk reward in ICICI Bank and Axis Bank.

Another brokerage Credit Suisse has a ‘impartial’ ranking on the inventory with a goal of Rs 1,680. Growth picked up, so did credit score value, it mentioned.

“The management communicated that it has shifted its strategy towards accelerated asset accretion. Execution on this front will be monitored closely, as will be the possibility of inorganic growth,” mentioned Edelweiss Securities.

This brokerage mentioned that there are early indicators of acceleration with 4.5 per cent sequential advances progress, however the development must be sustained for the inventory to keep up premium valuations.

On Tuesday, the scrip was quoting 0.3 per cent greater at Rs 1,729.85 on BSE.

Antique Stock Broking mentioned Kotak’s FY21 asset high quality efficiency is essentially in line with prime three non-public banks. It mentioned that whereas the standalone earnings for the March quarter have seen a downgrade of 5 per cent in FY22 and 4 per cent in FY23 EPS estimates, higher subsidiaries efficiency saved consolidated earnings largely unchanged.

This brokerage has retained its ‘maintain’ ranking on the inventory with a worth goal of Rs 1,840 from Rs 1,850, because it stayed constructive on enterprise fundamentals regardless of comparatively weaker asset high quality efficiency.

Kotak Bank on Monday reported 2 per cent progress in loans to Rs 2.23 lakh crore for the quarter ended March, reflecting the affect of the conservative strategy that the administration adopted in the start of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Its internet revenue grew 33 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,682 crore for the March quarter. Sequentially, the lender’s internet revenue fell on account of an increase in provisions. NII rose 8 per cent YoY to Rs 3,843 crore for the quarter, which was additionally beneath Street’s estimates.

The non-public sector lender reported a slight enchancment in asset high quality as its gross non-performing property ratio stood at 3.25 per cent for the quarter in contrast with 3.27 per cent in the earlier quarter on a proforma foundation.

Emkay Global mentioned that the financial institution remained open to acquisition of asset portfolios, topic to assembly risk-return standards. Incremental department growth will probably be primarily to garner present account and transactional banking relationships, it mentioned.

“We retain ‘hold’ with a target of Rs 2,000, based on 4 times core P/ABV FY23 and subsidies valuation of Rs 498, given its superior RoAs, reasonable asset quality management and strong capital comfort. That said, incremental stock movement will closely track growth momentum,” Emkay mentioned.


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