WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump was optimistic throughout the debate Thursday that Republicans might take back the House of Representatives. But that is unlikely and opposite to what most election specialists suppose.
“I think we’re going to win the House,” Trump stated. This was simply one in all a number of occasions he mused about whether or not the GOP might seize the decrease chamber of Congress on Nov. 3.
Democrats seized control of the House in the 2018 midterms.
Analysts have predicted that Democrats will not solely hold the House, however have many opportunities to pick up seats. The non-partisan Cook Political Report predicts Democrats could increase their majority.
Cook’s House analyst, Dave Wasserman, wrote Wednesday, “overall, we’re revising our outlook in the House from a Democratic net gain of five to ten seats to a gain of between five and 15 seats.”
Trump later stated he believes the Republicans will take back the House as a consequence of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and the present standing of a coronavirus stimulus deal.
“That’s one of the reasons I think we’re going to take over the House because of her,” Trump said.
Currently, there are 232 Democrats in the House versus 197 Republicans. The GOP would wish a internet achieve of at the very least 18 seats to achieve the majority and flip the House.
The higher chamber of Congress, the Senate, is the contested physique in the 2020 election, as Democrats look to achieve back management from Republicans.
There are 35 seats up for election in the Senate, and of these, 23 belong to Republicans and 12 to Democrats. Democrats would wish a internet achieve of three or 4 seats to win a majority in the Senate, which is presently held by Republicans with 53 senators.
There are a number of alternatives for Democrats to take the Senate from the GOP with crucial races in locations like Arizona, North Carolina, Maine and Colorado, amongst others.
In 2018, Democrats won the popular vote in the House by the largest margins since the Watergate scandal and resignation of Republican President Richard Nixon.
Contributing: Christal Hayes, USA TODAY; Associated Press